Thursday, February 21, 2008

Bill Clinton: Texas Could Be Hillary's Last Stand

quote[Another factor in Obama's favor is the open nature of the primary.

Texas  like Ohio, the other big state that votes March 4  allows independents to vote in the Democratic primary, a dynamic that has significantly favored Obama in other states, including Wisconsin, which voted on Tuesday.

In addition, Texas Democrats have designed a system of delegate allocation that rewards parts of the state that have voted heavily Democratic in previous elections.

This means that many of the areas the Clinton campaign is most heavily targeting  particularly the Latino-heavy communities in the Rio Grande Valley  carry less weight than some of the urban areas that favor Obama.

For instance, voters in three urban state senate districts  overwhelmingly black districts in Dallas and Houston, and a white liberal enclave of Austin  will choose 21 convention delegates between them.

But because of low Latino turnout for Democrats in the 2004 and 2006 elections, some state senate districts choose as few as two delegates each.

"Clinton could win the statewide vote, but she could still just break even or end up behind in the delegate count," said Martin Frost, a former congressman from Dallas who is neutral in the presidential race. "The press is playing attention to who wins the delegates, so that will be important."

Texas' odd system of allocating delegates has flummoxed the Clinton campaign. Clinton told reporters over the weekend that her aides were still struggling to understand how the state operates.

"I've got people trying to understand it as we speak," she said. "Grown men are crying as we speak. I had no idea it was so bizarre."

Asked by ABC News how the Clinton campaign would define success in Texas, Clinton communications director Howard Wolfson said he wasn't sure.

"I think all of you will be looking at a lot of different data points to determine who wins the night," Wolfson said.]


Put a fork in her.

It's this late in the game and her managers still don't understand how Texas works???

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